· Despite obamas announcement of a gradual draw down of its troops frm afghan, taliban has refused to put down arms till country is completely free from foreign troops
· Post US withdrawal, afghans fear that the aid from US and western countries would dry up
· If that happens, situation in afghanistan would be similar to what it was in late 1990s under taliban rule
· Civil war like in 1990s?
o No such scenario now
o In 1990s pakistan was a supporter of taliban occupation of afghan
o But now pakistan realises the ill effects of terror and is unlikely to repeat the same
o There is deep resentment against pakistani intervention in afghanistan
· India’s policy
o Our policy orientation is realistic
o Focus is on building war relationship
o More people to people contacts
o Non interference in internal affairs
o Aversion towards indian militairy deployment in afghanistan
o Insists on afghan led reconciliation process
· Policy Suggestions for india
o Setup communication line between the two
o Need to continue our dialogue with pakistan and make it clear to pakistan that both aspire for a stabilised afghan
o India should make use of SCO to to evolve a collective security strategy for the region
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