Thursday, April 28, 2011

new great game in west asia


·         There is growing sunni –shia rivalry in west asia
·         Who are sunnis and shias?
o   After prophet’s death in 632 AD. There was a divided opinion on succession
o   The sunnis wanted an elected successor while shias wanted the succession to be according to blood line
·         This divide has deepened over the years
·         Islam is fastest growing religion in world
·         Sunnis are a majority, shia make up only 15% of total muslim population
·         Shias are inmajority in iraq, iran, azerbaijan and bahrain
·         Sunni-shia division has deepended over the years
·         For long in iraq, shia majority was suppressed
o   Iraq came into existence in 1932
·         Following american invasion of iraq in 2003, shia came to power and resorted to ethnic cleansing
·         Post US invasion of iraq, iran’s stature in region has strengthened
·         Iran has a key rôle to play in afghan problem
·         Shia poptln in other nations
o   Pakistan-20%
o   Kuwait-25%
o   Lebanon-40%
o   Egypt-negligible
·         In bahrain sunni kingdom rules shias
·         The current revolt in bahrain is being strongly suppressed with help of saudi
·         Saudi is worried coz of shias gain power in bahrain, it might strengthen the say of shia in saudi who mostly live oil rich areas

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