why west is losing its step in arab spring?

• western powers interference has yielded little success
• now battle lines are being drawn for syria with US now calling for removal of Assad
• different interventions
• direct in libya
• envoys in egypt
• mild rebukes in saudi and bahrain
• tunisia
• main control now with army
• elections postpones fmr jul to oct 2011
• egypt
• fought for
• end of militairy rule
• end of tight control on intelligence agency
• political reforms
• many of rulers loyalists still in army postns
• army tight control
• religious conservatives have sidelined liberals
• libya
• 5 months of bombing and yet no results
• pushed into civil war
• key issue
• world thought cause was democracy
• reality is shia-sunni
• tribal rivalry
• separatist movts
• demonstrations by thousands of people doesnt necessarily create +ve chng
• btwn 1970-2000: 100 countries protests for dcrcy; only 20 achvd
• 43% countries that defeated dictator ended up in civil wars
• conclusion
• UNSC must look into the history and take action accordingly